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The Potential Impact of Generic Citalopram and Paroxetine on the U.S. Antidepressant Market

Authors
Neil Grubert, M.A.
PhysicianForum -- September 2003

  In This Issue...

The U.S. antidepressant market has grown vigorously in recent years. Between 1998 and 2002, sales at ex-manufacturer prices increased from $7.1 billion to $12.5 billion, a compound annual growth rate of 15%. Selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) have long been the main drivers of growth in the U.S. antidepressant market. In 2002, however, total sales of SSRIs in the United States declined by 4.4% in dollar terms-largely as a consequence of the expiration of the patent on Eli Lilly’s Prozac (fluoxetine). Generics competition slashed prices by more than 80%, and total dollar sales of fluoxetine fell by 52% in 2002. The market faces the prospect of even greater upheaval in the near future. Two other leading SSRIs-Forest’s Celexa (citalopram) and GlaxoSmithKline’s Paxil (paroxetine)-could encounter generics competition by early 2005. The availability of three generic SSRIs would transform the dynamics of the antidepressant market and present serious challenges, not just for Celexa and Paxil, but for other leading antidepressants.

Decision Resources’ PhysicianForum survey “The Potential Impact of Generic Citalopram and Paroxetine on the U.S. Antidepressant Market" explores current antidepressant prescribing patterns for depression and anxiety and assesses how health plans and physicians would respond to the introduction of new generic SSRIs. We surveyed 56 primary care physicians (PCPs), 30 psychiatrists, and 24 health maintenance organization (HMO) pharmacy directors and compared their responses to determine similarities and differences.

This study answers the following critical questions:

- What is the formulary status of the leading antidepressants?

- Which drug attributes and other factors do HMOs consider most important in formulary decision making?

- How do HMOs perceive prescribing patterns for depression and anxiety?

- How satisfied are PCPs and psychiatrists with current antidepressants?

- Which drugs are PCPs’ and psychiatrists’ current therapies of choice for a range of depressive and anxiety disorders, and what would physicians choose if citalopram and paroxetine were available as generics?

- Which SSRIs do physicians consider the safest and most efficacious on the market?

- What are the drug attributes and extraneous factors that physicians consider most important when selecting an antidepressant to prescribe?

- What do physicians believe to be the key strengths and weaknesses of Celexa and Paxil?

- What is the probability that patients will be switched to a different antidepressant when generic citalopram and paroxetine reach the market?

- To what extent would cost of therapy influence physicians’ likelihood of prescribing generic citalopram and paroxetine?

- Would physicians prefer generic citalopram, fluoxetine, or paroxetine for various disorders?.

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