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Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer

Authors
Mohamed Muhsin, M.Sc.
Mark Thornton, M.Sc., Ph.D.
Prachi Vora, M.P.H.
Pharmacor -- June 2005

  You Need to Know

How are treatment paradigms evolving in non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC)? In light of recent clinical trial evidence, what is the future of gefitinib in this market? How will novel agents be incorporated into current treatment regimens?

  Introduction

The marketplace for therapies to treat non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), one of the most common and deadly forms of cancer, is undergoing rapid change. Our research has revealed three major forces that will continue to drive market expansion: an increase in the number of patients deemed eligible for chemotherapy; the rapid uptake of novel targeted therapies; and increasing use of newer, branded agents in chemotherapy regimens. Despite recent advances in treatment, however, NSCLC carries a huge burden of unmet need for agents that can prevent disease recurrence and are less toxic than current therapies.

  Key Findings

In 2004, there were 0.5 million incident cases of NSCLC in the seven major markets we cover (United States, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, United Kingdom, and Japan). This population is expected to grow at a moderate rate owing to the aging population and increased tobacco use, especially in women. Sales growth, starting from a base of $2.4 billion in 2004, will be much more aggressive, primarily driven by the availability of novel agents.

The availability of agents with improved activity in advanced disease is the greatest unmet need in NSCLC. Although 40% of patients present with advanced-stage disease, only approximately one-third of these patients will respond to current standard chemotherapy. Novel agents that can improve the prognoses of these patients are urgently required.

Taxanes are the leading drug class by value in the NSCLC market. Their market dominance will falter owing to the combined effects of generics erosion in the second half of our forecast period and the introduction of novel, highly priced biological agents.

The role of the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) in the pathology of NSCLC remains controversial. Although EGFR is overexpressed in 40-80% of tumors, expression does not necessarily correlate with response to anti-EGFR therapies. Conflicting results from clinical trials of gefitinib (AstraZeneca's Iressa) and erlotinib (OSI/Genentech/Roche's Tarceva) are likely to fuel speculation.

  Why Buy This Report?

Explore the changing treatment paradigms in each country under study.

Assess the impact of novel biological agents in this market.

Discover how the EGFR inhibitors will fare in the clinic and the marketplace.

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Market Forecast Presentation
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